Forecasters, Stop Trying to Predict the Future

This report does one of the things I like least: It makes a forecast.

Longstanding readers probably will be familiar with my aversion to this type of marketing hype. What's more, it's for events so far in the future that not many people who are reading the report today will remember to hold McKinsey accountable 20 years from now (unless the forecast is right, in which case someone there will surely trumpet it).

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