Nov 8, 2021
Why the Fed Could Stay Easy for a LONG Time
Participation rates have not recovered.
Oct 25, 2021
The Consequences of Financial Repression
Credit risk is wildly mispriced.
Oct 22, 2021
Why Growth In The 2020s May Surprise
Demographics support higher rates for the first time since the 1970s.
Sep 27, 2021
Evergrande is an Isolated China Issue
In our view, comparisons to Lehman Brothers are inaccurate and unhelpful, since Evergrande is much smaller and counterparty risks to an Evergrande default appear to be isolated
Sep 15, 2021
5 Stock Market Divergences to Keep an Eye On
Stocks are running well ahead of the economy.
Sep 2, 2021
Fed Policy Supports The Cyclical Rotation
Today at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no hurry to either taper asset purchases immediately or...
Aug 6, 2021
Who Benefits Most From Our EV Push?
You really probably ought to own a copper miner or two.
Jul 30, 2021
Why The US Housing Boom Will Run Another 5 Years
The United States is just at the beginning of a housing boom that could last for the next five years.
Jul 29, 2021
The Energy Sector Is Being Starved Of Capital
Public attitudes toward energy companies are changing, and with it capital investment in energy companies is shrinking.
Jul 2, 2021
Jobs Report Gives Little Ammo to Fed Hawks
The ever-important payroll report came in ahead of expectations for June, but will ultimately do little to sway policy in toward the hawkish faction of the Federal Reserve...
Jun 28, 2021
Why You Probably Want to Hang Onto Value
A steepening yield curve favors value stocks.
May 28, 2021
What A Weak Dollar Means For The Rest of 2021
The US dollar is on the verge of breaking down to the lowest level since 2014. This is not all that surprising. After all, the US money supply continues to grow at a rapid pace...
Apr 23, 2021
Why Rates Are Going Higher
10 year Treasury rates peaked at the end of March at 1.74% after having risen from low of just 0.56% back in the summer of 2020. Now, the rate stands at 1.57% even as economic data...
Apr 12, 2021
Passive Investing Has Never Been So Risky
Three reasons passive investing has become more risky.
Mar 16, 2021
Being A Passive Investor Has Never Been So Risky
The risks of passive investing may now exceed the low cost advantage.
Mar 1, 2021
Rising Rates Are Not a Friend of Technology Stocks
The title of this post seems rather obvious in light of this week’s events, but it’s something we have been talking about for months now. Rising interest rates are not...
Feb 22, 2021
Inflation Here, There and Everywhere
Recent indications of inflation have run hot and more is likely to come.
Feb 16, 2021
5th Grade Math Reveals Alternative To Crazy Tech Stocks
Yes, there is an alternative to crazy expensive tech stocks.
Jan 26, 2021
Here Comes Services Inflation
Input prices are already rising.
Jan 18, 2021
The Best Ways To Hedge Inflation
There are a lot of reasons inflation may become a problem.
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