-
Jul 1, 2022
Inflation has peaked
-
Jun 28, 2022
Since they started raising rates late last year the Fed has $540B of unrealized losses. How problematic is this?
-
Jun 16, 2022
A slowdown is all but certain. But does it turn into a recession? Does it turn into a deeper recession than expected? Does it spill over into credit markets and cause a debt...
-
Apr 22, 2022
Lower prices today mean better returns in the future.
-
Apr 9, 2022
The central bank took too long to raise interest rates. It's now playing catchup.
-
Apr 7, 2022
I am increasingly concerned that the Fed is on the verge of a significant policy mistake (raising rates into an economic slowdown) after what is already a policy mistake (leaving...
-
Mar 28, 2022
Who decided the 60/40 portfolio is optimal?
-
Mar 24, 2022
The Fed is behind the curve.
-
Mar 10, 2022
The inflation story looked pretty clear to me before Russia invaded Ukraine.
-
Mar 3, 2022
Anything can happen.
-
Mar 1, 2022
Geopolitical conflicts are a lot more frequent than we might like to admit and the market always overcomes the short-term turmoil.
-
Feb 18, 2022
The Total Bond Market is down 5.5% from its 2021 peak. The 10 year T-Note is down 10.7% from its 2020 high. But with the market pricing in 7 rate hikes and inflation showing...
-
Jan 28, 2022
Things to do to keep you from doing something stupid.
-
Jan 24, 2022
Jeremy Grantham calls for a crash, bonds still diversify and we're very guilty of home bias.
-
Jan 12, 2022
Someone will buy bonds even if the Fed doesn't.
-
Jan 5, 2022
10 questions/answers provide you with some useful perspective on the year to come