A Warning Flag on Bank of America, JP Morgan

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- While recent run-ups in the stocks might say different, widening spreads on credit default swaps related to Bank of America(BAC) and JPMorgan Chase(JPM) in the past quarter illustrate growth in market apprehension about the health of both banks.

Wider spreads indicate greater investor concern about the possibility of default. Fitch said CDS liquidity picked for both banks as well. While the spreads for both JPMorgan and Bank of America are still representative of very stable outlooks, the trend does show, according to Jonathan Di Giambattista, a managing director at Fitch who authored the report, that the CDS market is making "clear distinctions among names" within the banking sector. Although the percentage move isn't as great, the action in Bank of America seems more worrisome than that affecting JPMorgan from Di Giambattista's standpoint. "Despite recent spread volatility, the market is still pricing JPMorgan in-line with AA-rated credits," said Di Giambattista in a statement. 'In contrast, BofA, is pricing in line with BBB- names while its high liquidity signals widespread uncertainty over future prospects." Both JPMorgan and Bank of America are due to report their first-quarter results this week. JPMorgan is up first on Wednesday, and Wall Street is expecting a profit of 64 cents a share for the March period on revenue of $26.5 billion. Bank of America will follow before Friday's opening bell, and the average analysts' consensus estimate is for earnings of 9 cents a share on revenue of $28 billion. The big banks are expected to show credit costs reached an inflection point in the first quarter, and the stocks in the group have risen impressively ahead of the reports, in part because of this optimism. The KBW Bank Index, which contains twenty of the biggest U.S. banks, is up about 30% year-to-date. Shares of Bank of America and JPMorgan have jumped 24% and 11% respectively so far in 2010.   Loading Comments...   1 2 Last » Next ›

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