Cumberland's Response to the "Muni Scare"

Cumberland’s Response to the “Muni Scare” June 18, 2010, John Mousseau, CFA, Managing Director & Portfolio Manager

This week there have been more in a series of articles highlighting the municipal bond market and pointing to what we think are overstated financial risks.  The Wall Street Journal provided a good example on Monday, June 13, with an article entitled “Investors Looking for Red Flags in Muni Market.”  We believe the article was inconsistent and did not reveal anything not already in the market.

Our View:

Thus, while we realize that municipalities are in the midst of probably the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, we also recognize that their overall credit quality; extremely low long-term default rates; and their ability to cut expenses, raise revenues, and recognize a large depth and breadth of potential revenues will carry the day for most municipal issuers.  The focus on credit quality and diversification is more important than ever, but American states, cities, and municipal entities are NOT going out of business.

Cumberland AdvisorsSM is registered with the SEC under the Investment Advisors Act of 1940. All information contained herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or offer to sell securities or investment advisory services. Such an offer can only be made in states and/or international jurisdictions where Cumberland Advisors is either registered or is a Notice Filer or where an exemption from such registration or filing is available. New accounts will not be accepted unless and until all local regulations have been satisfied. This presentation does not purport to be a complete description of our performance or investment services.

Please feel free to forward our commentaries (with proper attribution) to others who may be interested.

For a list of all equity recommendations for the past year, please contact Therese Pantalione at 856-692-6690,ext. 315. It is not our intention to state or imply in any manner that past results and profitability is an indication of future performance. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable. However, accuracy cannot be guaranteed.

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