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Oct. 1, 2010, 1:00 a.m. EDT · Recommend (8) · Post:
By Claudia Assis and Carla Mozee, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Stocks and oil just had their most memorable monthly rallies in years. But so did gold. Even bonds held their ground.
Head-scratching asset behavior, it seems, is one of the recession's lasting side effects. Some long-held correlations have loosened their grip recently; others proved themselves alive and well, a dissonant performance that hints at the challenges investors are likely to face as the year draws to a close.
As stocks powered to their best September since 1939 on waning worries about a double-dip U.S. recession, and oil rallied 11% on similar views, government bonds -- viewed as buffers against bad economic times -- held steady. Short-term debt even gained a bit. And gold hit a string of new records.
Gold, stocks and bonds rising together reflect the barbell approach investors are taking, Wells Capital Management's Gary Schlossberg tells Laura Mandaro.
"There's a real dichotomy in the market. At times the same investor may be bar-belling their risk, focusing on capital preservation, but then taking some money and allocating it toward higher return, higher yielding investments that tend to be riskier," said Gary Schlossberg, senior economist at Wells Capital Management.
Investors are still making sweeping bets on risk and safety, an all-or-nothing view that's translated to volatile swings in stocks and other assets since the financial system went into crisis two years ago.
But muddying performance month to month, investors are also keeping a keen eye on yields, buying up corporate bonds for a bit more interest and stocks when they look cheap. At the same time, they're snatching up gold as a hedge against what could turn out to be hang-over from the economic recovery -- inflation.
/quotes/comstock/21z!i1:in\x SPX 1,142, +0.57, +0.05% S&P 500
This schizophrenic behavior raises questions about how well asset diversification, or assembling a portfolio capable of evading the worst losses, will work if the tables are turned and, unlike in September, most assets fall. Read outlook for a fourth-quarter rally.
"Modern portfolio theory says you want to hold a diversified portfolio so you can maximize returns while minimizing risks; holding asset classes that zig when others zag," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at Standard & Poor's equity research.
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Instead, correlations between the S&P 500 and a list of assets that once provided some alternative to large-cap stocks have risen to all- time highs. U.S. small-cap stocks, emerging-markets, commodities, and real-estate trusts are trading more in step with the S&P 500, on a price basis, than they have ever been. Read more on stocks.
Page 1Page 2 Add Comment › · Recommend (8) · Post: Alert Email Print Comments Screener First Take Economy still leaning on governmentU.S. personal incomes increased to an all-time high in August, but a closer look shows much of the gains came from transfer payments from the government, not from working or investing.
10:22 a.m. Today10:22 a.m. Oct. 1, 2010 | Comments: 17
Most Popular Most readMost commented America on the brink of a Second Revolution U.S. stock futures rise after economic data September doesn't help stocks' October odds Few investments miss rally as hope, fear converge China's not a superpower in commodities markets U.S. stocks close best September in 71 years Don't judge a 'book' by its cover U.S. stock futures rise after economic data Gold caps record-setting month with slight drop U.S. stocks lose steam as technology lags Reader Response »- R32 | 6:40 a.m. Today6:40 a.m. Oct. 1, 2010
+11 Votes (12 Up / 1 Down) Find a Broker Partner Center » MarketWatch's Latest Tweets"ISM manufacturing index slips slightly less than forecast in September http://on.mktw.net/aYkY1T" 9:04 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"U.S. consumer-sentiment reading for September revised upward http://on.mktw.net/9TwWMj" 9:02 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"Dow industrials up 60 points as U.S. stocks greet fourth quarter with gains http://on.mktw.net/a26Y27" 8:54 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"United Continental rises 5% in debut session as single stock http://on.mktw.net/c6KbTW" 8:46 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"U.S. personal incomes rise 0.5% in August, while spending increases 0.2% http://on.mktw.net/dxEkvV" 7:32 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
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8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966211:19aTreasurys turn up after ISM report
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966011:15aCORRECTED
Oil stocks save the day for FTSE 100
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965811:13aInvestor hold most stocks since April: AAII
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965711:07aTyco ups share buyback program by $750 million
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965611:06aU.S. stocks struggle higher; Dow industrials up 18
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965511:03aCrude futures trim advance after ISM data
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965110:55aGM September U.S. sales up 10.5% to 173,155 units
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965010:53aKeyCorp, Marshall & Ilsley lead financials
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8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964610:48aBREAKING
GM September U.S. sales up 10.5% to 173,155 units
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964510:47aH-P's new CEO doesn't fire up stock
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964410:43aBREAKING
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8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965312:01aMagazines: the good, the bad and the ugly
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rex Nutting Still a drag on the economy The recession may have officially ended more than a year ago but the economy still has big problems, including too-high levels of household debt. /conga/kiosk/wildcard4.html 100682 MarketWatch.com Site Index Topics Help Feedback Newsroom Roster Media Archive Premium Products Mobile Podcasts RSS MarketWatch on Facebook MarketWatch on Twitter Company Info Code of Conduct Corrections Advertising Media Kit Advertise Locally License our Content WSJ.com Barron's Online BigCharts Virtual Stock Exchange All Things Digital MarketWatch Community Financial News Online WSJ.com Small Business FINS.com - Propel your careerCopyright © 2010 MarketWatch, Inc. All rights reserved. By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.
Intraday Data provided by Thomson Reuters and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by Thomson Reuters. Intraday data delayed per exchange requirements. Dow Jones Indexes (SM) from Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All quotes are in local exchange time. Real time last sale data provided by NASDAQ. More information on NASDAQ traded symbols and their current financial status. Intraday data delayed 15 minutes for Nasdaq, and 20 minutes for other exchanges. Dow Jones Indexes(SM) from Dow Jones & Company, Inc. SEHK intraday data is provided by Comstock and is at least 60-minutes delayed. All quotes are in local exchange time.
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MarketWatch Top Stories Link to MarketWatch's Slice. 15 $(".bgCurrencyFormatting").data("bgFormat", { last: "#,###.0000", change: "#,###.0000", percentChange: "#,###.0000%" });This schizophrenic behavior raises questions about how well asset diversification, or assembling a portfolio capable of evading the worst losses, will work if the tables are turned and, unlike in September, most assets fall. Read outlook for a fourth-quarter rally.
"Modern portfolio theory says you want to hold a diversified portfolio so you can maximize returns while minimizing risks; holding asset classes that zig when others zag," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at Standard & Poor's equity research.
/quotes/comstock/21e!f:gc\z10 GCZ10 1,319, +9.70, +0.74% Gold
Instead, correlations between the S&P 500 and a list of assets that once provided some alternative to large-cap stocks have risen to all- time highs. U.S. small-cap stocks, emerging-markets, commodities, and real-estate trusts are trading more in step with the S&P 500, on a price basis, than they have ever been. Read more on stocks.
Page 1Page 2 Add Comment › · Recommend (8) · Post: Alert Email Print Comments Screener First Take Economy still leaning on governmentU.S. personal incomes increased to an all-time high in August, but a closer look shows much of the gains came from transfer payments from the government, not from working or investing.
10:22 a.m. Today10:22 a.m. Oct. 1, 2010 | Comments: 17
Most Popular Most readMost commented America on the brink of a Second Revolution U.S. stock futures rise after economic data September doesn't help stocks' October odds Few investments miss rally as hope, fear converge China's not a superpower in commodities markets U.S. stocks close best September in 71 years Don't judge a 'book' by its cover U.S. stock futures rise after economic data Gold caps record-setting month with slight drop U.S. stocks lose steam as technology lags Reader Response »- R32 | 6:40 a.m. Today6:40 a.m. Oct. 1, 2010
+11 Votes (12 Up / 1 Down) Find a Broker Partner Center » MarketWatch's Latest Tweets"ISM manufacturing index slips slightly less than forecast in September http://on.mktw.net/aYkY1T" 9:04 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"U.S. consumer-sentiment reading for September revised upward http://on.mktw.net/9TwWMj" 9:02 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"Dow industrials up 60 points as U.S. stocks greet fourth quarter with gains http://on.mktw.net/a26Y27" 8:54 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"United Continental rises 5% in debut session as single stock http://on.mktw.net/c6KbTW" 8:46 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
"U.S. personal incomes rise 0.5% in August, while spending increases 0.2% http://on.mktw.net/dxEkvV" 7:32 a.m. EDT, Oct. 1, 2010 from MarketWatch
Featured StoriesU.S. stocks stumble on ISM weak spots
Stocks falter following the release of a closely watched manufacturing survey, after starting the fourth...
Personal income outstrips spending in August
Consumer spending was up a tepid 0.2% in August while income jumped 0.5%. As a result, the savings rate...
Credit cards pay you back for stolen goods
Under a little-known perk called "purchase protection," credit-card companies will reimburse you if...
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The wildly unpopular $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program is set to expire on Sunday, two years to...
More BigCharts Virtual Stock Exchange WSJ Asia WSJ Europe WSJ Americas WSJ Chinese Financial News Online SEARCH 11:29 AM EDT October 1, 2010 /marketstate/country/us New York Open /marketstate/country/uk London Open /marketstate/country/jp Tokyo Closed /marketstate/country/us /marketstate/country/uk /marketstate/country/jp View All Latest News /news/latest8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966911:29aObama names Rouse White House chief of staff
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966811:28aAmazon shares get clipped after run-up
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966711:27aObama names Rouse White House chief of staff
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966611:24aFriday's biggest gaining and declining stocks
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966411:22aVolkswagen U.S. Sept. sales rise 14.9% to 19,943
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966311:19aBREAKING
Title insurers take hit over stalled foreclosures
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966211:19aTreasurys turn up after ISM report
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22966011:15aCORRECTED
Oil stocks save the day for FTSE 100
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965811:13aInvestor hold most stocks since April: AAII
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965711:07aTyco ups share buyback program by $750 million
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965611:06aU.S. stocks struggle higher; Dow industrials up 18
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965511:03aCrude futures trim advance after ISM data
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965110:55aGM September U.S. sales up 10.5% to 173,155 units
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965010:53aKeyCorp, Marshall & Ilsley lead financials
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964910:49aH-P shares slip after CEO appointment
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964810:49aCORRECTED
Choppy day for Europe stocks amid U.S. data
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964610:48aBREAKING
GM September U.S. sales up 10.5% to 173,155 units
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964510:47aH-P's new CEO doesn't fire up stock
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22964410:43aBREAKING
U.S. stock gains fade as manufacturing slows
8c077dc4-5ad2-4f73-b9c3-a381c5fece05:22965312:01aMagazines: the good, the bad and the ugly
Loading more headlines... dow /quotes/comstock/10w!i:dji/delayed 10,798 9.88 0.09% nasdaq /quotes/comstock/10y!i:comp 2,363 -5.94 -0.25% s&p 500 /quotes/comstock/21z!i1:in\x 1,142 0.52 0.05% Kiosk 1268374500000 1268431200000Capitol Report
Net brawl goes to extra rounds The fight over regulating the Internet will spill into 2011 after FCC misteps provoked a backlash. How it will come out is anybody's guess. "¢ Election 2010 | MarketWatch Elections Blog /conga/kiosk/capitol-report.html 103089 1241006400000 1272542400000Commentary
Nick Godt's market medics Stocks, Fed allies for rally A weak economy means any uncertainty about markets is mostly about when and how the Fed will increase liquidity to boost the economy. /conga/kiosk/commentary.html 103082 1266332400000 1266332400000Commodities Corner
Not a superpower? The recent maritime spat between Beijing and Tokyo shows that China, a dominant player in global trade, is not the superpower it appears to be in commodities markets. /conga/kiosk/commentary2.html 103085 1266332400000 1266332400000Tomi Kilgore
J.P. Morgan bears should worry On Wall Street, it is said that once you take a position, the reasons are no longer relevant. Traders shorting J.P. Morgan's stock should take heed of the aphorism's lessons. /conga/kiosk/commentary3.html 103092 1248091200000 1248119100000Technology
Have iPad, will travel Walt Mossberg ditches his laptop and takes an Apple iPad on a long business trip. Can the iPad really do the job? "¢ Also on digits: RIM tablet vs. iPad /conga/kiosk/tech.html 102915 1251777600000 1251777600000Markets
Mark Hulbert Triumph of hope over experience The best September since 1939 is officially in the books. What should investors expect for October? "¢ A September to remember, and wonder about. /conga/kiosk/wildcard1.html 103099 1251950400000 1251950400000Fantasy Earnings Trader Game
Fantasy Earnings Trader Which stocks will pop or drop when they announce? Prove your prowess and win an iPad! Play the free game now. "¢ Welcome to VSE's new game /conga/kiosk/wildcard2.html 102691 1255370400000 1255370400000Money and Power
rex Nutting Still a drag on the economy The recession may have officially ended more than a year ago but the economy still has big problems, including too-high levels of household debt. /conga/kiosk/wildcard4.html 100682 MarketWatch.com Site Index Topics Help Feedback Newsroom Roster Media Archive Premium Products Mobile Podcasts RSS MarketWatch on Facebook MarketWatch on Twitter Company Info Code of Conduct Corrections Advertising Media Kit Advertise Locally License our Content WSJ.com Barron's Online BigCharts Virtual Stock Exchange All Things Digital MarketWatch Community Financial News Online WSJ.com Small Business FINS.com - Propel your careerCopyright © 2010 MarketWatch, Inc. All rights reserved. By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.
Intraday Data provided by Thomson Reuters and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by Thomson Reuters. Intraday data delayed per exchange requirements. Dow Jones Indexes (SM) from Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All quotes are in local exchange time. Real time last sale data provided by NASDAQ. More information on NASDAQ traded symbols and their current financial status. Intraday data delayed 15 minutes for Nasdaq, and 20 minutes for other exchanges. Dow Jones Indexes(SM) from Dow Jones & Company, Inc. SEHK intraday data is provided by Comstock and is at least 60-minutes delayed. All quotes are in local exchange time.
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