COMMENT
Breadcrumb trail navigation:
By Michael Woodford
Published: October 11 2010 22:34 | Last updated: October 11 2010 22:34
Debate is raging within the Federal Reserve about whether to do more to stimulate the US economy. It seems many of its leading figures would like to, and the minutes of their last Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released Tuesday, will be read carefully for hints. Yet Ben Bernanke, Fed chairman, knows that a cut in rates, his usual tool, is currently infeasible. Therefore, speculation has turned to a return to quantitative easing (QE2), or large purchases of long-term Treasury bonds.
This would be a dramatic move. But we must not kid ourselves. It would have at best a modest effect in a large, liquid market such as Treasury bonds and, therefore, is unlikely to dig the US economy out of its current hole. There is, however, another option: for the Fed to clarify its "exit strategy" from its current, unconventional monetary stance. This would mean making clear that the Fed has no plans to tighten policy through increases in the federal funds rate, even if inflation temporarily exceeds the rate regarded as consistent with the Fed's mandate. In short, the Fed should allow a one-time-only inflation increase, with a plan to control it once the target level of prices has been reached.
You have viewed your allowance of free articles. If you wish to view more, click the button below.
Read Full Article »
