Why the 'Smart Money' Is Betting on Gold ... and Housing

Thu, Dec 9, 2010, 2:27PM EST - U.S. Markets close in 1 hr 33 mins

Still, gold has been a great bet for the past 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year periods...and almost everything in between. Gold's stellar performance has attracted interest from some of the most successful hedge fund managers, including John Paulson, whose firm counts AngloGold, Kinross Gold and the SPDR Gold ETF (GLD) among its top 15 equity holdings.

In addition to Paulson, whose gold fund was up 33.6% this year as of November 30, according to Reuters, Greenlight's David Einhorn and Passport Capital's John Burbank are also notable gold bulls.

As was the case with housing, none of these hedge fund managers have traditionally been gold investors, but they've quickly educated themselves. And Zuckerman notes Einhorn and Burbank are holding and storing the metal itself vs. betting on gold equities or ETFs.

"They don't actually think gold is going thru the roof because inflation is right around the bend next week...but they're worried down the road," Zuckerman says. "We've flooded the system with money...and the only way to protect yourself is through gold."

Housing Bulls, Unite

Among the recent crop of hedge fund stars, Pershing Square Capital's Bill Ackman is notably absent from the parade of gold bulls. But he and Paulson do share a bullishness on another asset class: Housing.

Paulson, who recently bought a two-bedroom condo in NYC for a reported $2.85 million, has been quoted saying: "If you don't own a home buy one. If you own one home, buy another one, and if you own two homes buy a third."

Ackman, meanwhile, recently gave a presentation entitled "How to Make a Fortune," which lays out his bullish case on housing, as shown here.

Betting on gold and housing in tandem makes sense if you think the dollar is going lower and inflation is going to rise, as "hard assets" do well in that environment. Of course, if the dollar collapses, as many gold bugs like Peter Schiff predict, that won't be good for the economy or the housing market.

Notably, Ackman's bet on housing is predicated at least in part on his generally bullish outlook for the economy and America, which may explain why he's not jumping on the gold bandwagon.

Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at altask@yahoo.com

Follow Yahoo! Finance on Twitter; become a fan on Facebook.

Quotes and other information supplied by independent providers identified on the Yahoo! Finance partner page. Quotes are updated automatically, but will be turned off after 25 minutes of inactivity. Quotes are delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges. Real-Time continuous streaming quotes are available through our premium service. You may turn streaming quotes on or off. Fundamental company data provided by Capital IQ. Financials data provided by Edgar Online. Historical chart data and daily updates provided by Commodity Systems, Inc. (CSI). International historical chart data, daily updates, fund summary, fund performance, dividend data and Morningstar Index data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Analyst estimates data provided by Thomson Financial Network. All data provided by Thomson Financial Network is based solely upon research information provided by third party analysts. Yahoo! has not reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity of such data. Yahoo! and ThomsonFN shall not be liable for any actions taken in reliance thereon. All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Neither Yahoo! nor any of independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. By accessing the Yahoo! site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.

Read Full Article »


Comment
Show comments Hide Comments


Related Articles

Market Overview
Search Stock Quotes