Why the Tax Cut Didn't Stimulate More Spending

Skip navigation #headerOverlay{ color: #ccd6df; font-size:11px; line-height:130%; } #headerOverlay strong{ color: #ffd226; } #headerOverlay a {color:#ccd6df;text-decoration:none;} #headerOverlay a:hover {color:#ffd226;} #headerOverlay a:visited {color:#ccd6df;} #headerOverlay a:visited:hover {color:#ffd226;} Symbol Lookup onloadAutoSuggest(); var pgValue = "CNBSEB"; var cmsKeyWord = "alternative investing"; var cmsNewPG = "CNBWAB"; if ((cmsKeyWord.length > 0) && (cmsNewPG.length > 0)) { var newPG = cmsNewPG.split(';'); var group = cmsKeyWord.split(';'); if (newPG.length == group.length) { var description = cnbc_pagedesc.toLowerCase(); for(var x = 0; x < group.length; x++) { var keyWord = group[x].split('|'); for (var j = 0; j < keyWord.length; j++) { if (description.indexOf(keyWord[j].toLowerCase()) != -1) { pgValue = newPG[x]; j = keyWord.length; x = group.length; }}}}} if (cnbc_DARTFlag=="new") { cnbc_DARTAdCall(88,31,pgValue); } else { dapMgr.enableACB("SearchBox88x31",false); dapMgr.renderAd("SearchBox88x31","&PG=" + pgValue + "&AP=1071&PN=CNBC",88,31); } cnbc_displayUsername("cnbc_usertime","cnbc_username");RegisterSign InMember CenterSign OutRegistercnbc_toggleUserState();HOMENEWSMARKETSEARNINGSINVESTINGVIDEOCNBC TVCNBC 360CNBC PROU.S.Asia-PacificEuropeEconomyEnergyGreenTechnologyBlogsWiresSlideshowsSpecial ReportsCorrections if (cnbc_DARTFlag=="new") { cnbc_DARTAdCall(728,90,"CNBGE7"); } else { dapMgr.enableACB("USNewsBlogs728",false); dapMgr.renderAd("USNewsBlogs728","&PG=CNBGE7&AP=1390&PN=CNBC",728,90); } NetShredding As Much As We Can var cnbcSubHeaderId = document.getElementById('subheader_'+ 38911124); cnbcSubHeaderId.innerHTML = document.getElementById('renderReaderContent').innerHTML; Email: document.write("");document.write("NetNet"+"@"+"cnbc.com");document.write('');Call: 201-735-iNet (4638)Text Message: Text NETNET followed by your tip to 26221. if (cnbc_DARTFlag=="new") { cnbc_DARTAdCall(300,250,"CNBGE3"); } else { dapMgr.enableACB("USNewsBlogs300x250",false); dapMgr.renderAd("USNewsBlogs300x250","&PG=CNBGE3&AP=1089&PN=CNBC",300,250); } Current DateTime: 11:30:01 01 Mar 2011LinksList Documentid: 38910464Expiration DateTime: 3/1/2011 11:33:44 AM cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("", "38910464_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Predatory Homeowners Run Amok! cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850142", "38910464_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850142", "38910464_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Did the Europeans Just Invent a New Government Backed Derivative? cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41846746", "38910464_2","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41846746", "38910464_2","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Goldman Ex-Director Insider Trading Charges May Solve Long-Running Market Mystery cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41851041", "38910464_3","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41851041", "38910464_3","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Ex-Goldman Director Accused Of Leaking Inside Information cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850518", "38910464_4","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850518", "38910464_4","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); US Company Close to Deal to Buy UK's Second Largest Electricity Generator cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41849910", "38910464_5","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41849910", "38910464_5","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Prop Trading Moves Down the Hall at JPMorgan cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847719", "38910464_6","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847719", "38910464_6","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Organization for International Investment: Foreign Direct Invest Is on the Rise Again cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41836359", "38910464_7","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41836359", "38910464_7","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Uh Oh: Mark Zandi Just Said There Is 'Zero' Chance of a Major Muni Default cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41835600", "38910464_8","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41835600", "38910464_8","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Morgan Stanley Hacked?! cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41846623", "38910464_9","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41846623", "38910464_9","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Waking up With Nicole Lapin cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41846472", "38910464_10","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41846472", "38910464_10","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Collect Call From Mr. Madoff: Will You Accept the Charges? cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41836398", "38910464_11","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41836398", "38910464_11","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); The Big Tort cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41835435", "38910464_12","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41835435", "38910464_12","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Welcome to Nouriel Roubini's Scary New World of G-Zero cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41833966", "38910464_13","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41833966", "38910464_13","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); The Next Commodities Play: Hoarding Nickels cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41832675", "38910464_14","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41832675", "38910464_14","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Will First Day of Trading Again Be Lucky for Markets? cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41833689", "38910464_15","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41833689", "38910464_15","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); The Dictators of Spelling: A Googler's Guide to Finding 'Gaddafi ' in the News cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41827174", "38910464_16","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41827174", "38910464_16","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("", "38910464_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Current DateTime: 11:30:01 01 Mar 2011LinksList Documentid: 39085620FacebookTwitterRSSCurrent DateTime: 11:30:01 01 Mar 2011LinksList Documentid: 38852222John Carney

Runs this joint.

Cadie Thompson

Really, really runs this joint.

Ash Bennington

NetNet Special Reporter

Kate Kelly

Reports on the major Wall Street firms, trading, and regulation.

Jeff Cox

A staff writer with CNBC.com, covering the gamut of issues affecting the stock market and the economy.

Lori Spechler

A Senior Editor at CNBC, commodity trader in a former life.

Lori Ann LaRocco

A Senior Talent Producer at CNBC.

Nicole Lapin

Runs the graveyard.

Current DateTime: 11:30:01 01 Mar 2011LinksList Documentid: 38910635Expiration DateTime: 3/1/2011 11:33:35 AM cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("", "38910635_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Gupta Charges May Solve Long-Running Market Mystery cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41851041", "38910635_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41851041", "38910635_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Ex-Goldman Director Accused of Leaking Information cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850211", "38910635_2","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850211", "38910635_2","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Cost of Fed Actions Starting to Offset Benefits: El-Erian cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847543", "38910635_3","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847543", "38910635_3","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Oil Jumps Despite Denial of Saudi Tanks in Bahrain cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41840012", "38910635_4","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41840012", "38910635_4","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Updated: The World's Biggest Oil Reserves cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("33550165", "38910635_5","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("33550165", "38910635_5","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Bernanke: Higher Oil Prices Not Hurting Economy"”Yet cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847679", "38910635_6","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847679", "38910635_6","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Will Steve Jobs Attend Apple iPad Event? cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850069", "38910635_7","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41850069", "38910635_7","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Obama Move to Center Has Been All Talk So Far: Welch cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41845257", "38910635_8","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41845257", "38910635_8","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Ford, GM, Chrysler Sales Rise as Industry Recovers cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847582", "38910635_9","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41847582", "38910635_9","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); Pension Funds Strained, States Look at 401(k) Plans cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41844284", "38910635_10","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("41844284", "38910635_10","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); cnbc_commentCountMapObj.cnbc_commentCountMap_put("", "38910635_1","cnbcCommentsTxt" ); » HelpCurrent DateTime: 11:30:01 01 Mar 2011LinksList Documentid: 38851925Subscribe to this RSS feed

Stay up to date with NetNet.

if (cnbc_DARTFlag=="new") { cnbc_DARTAdCall(300,250,"CNBAL3"); } else { dapMgr.enableACB("ContextBlog300",false); dapMgr.renderAd("ContextBlog300","&PG=CNBAL3&AP=1089&PN=CNBC",300,250); } setDefault('cnbc_textbody');Why the Tax Cut Didn't Stimulate More Spending Published: Monday, 28 Feb 2011 | 1:54 PM ET Text Size By: John CarneySenior Editor, CNBC.com window.fbAsyncInit = function() { FB.init({appId: 'your app id', status: true, cookie: true, xfbml: true}); }; (function() { var e = document.createElement('script'); e.async = true; e.src = document.location.protocol + '//connect.facebook.net/en_US/all.js'; document.getElementById('fb-root').appendChild(e); }()); var sUrl = window.location; var str = '' $(".fbButton").html(str); //alert("1 :::: " + jQuery("#ssShare").length); Twitter cnbc_createTwitterURL();LinkedIn addthis_pub = 'cnbccomrssfeeds'; addthis_hide_embed=false; addthis_options = 'linkedin, digg, delicious, google,facebook,more'; More Share

Consumers increased spending 0.2 percent in January, despite a cut in Social Security taxes that grew personal income by a full percentage point.

You'll hear lots of theories about why consumers didn't spend more of the increased income. But don't read too much into the news.

A big boost in spending was simply never in the cards. I pointed this out back in Decem

Really, really runs this joint.

NetNet Special Reporter

Reports on the major Wall Street firms, trading, and regulation.

A staff writer with CNBC.com, covering the gamut of issues affecting the stock market and the economy.

A Senior Editor at CNBC, commodity trader in a former life.

A Senior Talent Producer at CNBC.

Runs the graveyard.

Stay up to date with NetNet.

Consumers increased spending 0.2 percent in January, despite a cut in Social Security taxes that grew personal income by a full percentage point.

You'll hear lots of theories about why consumers didn't spend more of the increased income. But don't read too much into the news.

A big boost in spending was simply never in the cards. I pointed this out back in December, after Deutsche Bank's economists argued that the tax cut would result in over a $100 billion in additional spending.

What's more, the form that this particular tax cut took guaranteed meager results. Spending increases more when people receive large rebate checks than when they see a small raise in their paychecks.

Some economists, including those guys at Deutsche Bank, are no doubt surprised by today's news. They shouldn't be.

____________________________________________

Questions? Comments? Email us at document.write("NetNet"+"@"+"cnbc.com");document.write('');

Follow John on Twitter @ twitter.com/Carney

Follow NetNet on Twitter @ twitter.com/CNBCnetnet

Facebook us @ www.facebook.com/NetNetCNBC

Read Full Article »


Comment
Show comments Hide Comments


Related Articles

Market Overview
Search Stock Quotes