The Many Attractions of Sweden's Krona

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For years, the Swedish krona has languished in the background. Worthy, but hardly the star of the show.

But as currency players continue to grabble with the fallout from the global financial crisis, as well as the geopolitical tensions sweeping through the Middle East, the krona has come into its own.

Not only has Sweden largely escaped the turmoil of the global crash but the krona is benefiting from being just what other major currencies aren’t.

It doesn’t have the banking and sovereign debt problems that are dogging the euro zone. It doesn’t have the deflation undermining Japan. It doesn’t have the massive fiscal debts and unemployment problems preventing a recovery in the U.S.

Nor does it have a central bank nervous about a strong currency like Switzerland.

In fact, just the opposite. In recent weeks it has become apparent that the Swedish economy remains robust, with GDP growth this year expected to amount to a healthy 7%. Figures Tuesday showed that the economy managed to expand by an even stronger-than-expected 7.3% on the year, in 2010′s fourth quarter.

The Riksbank has already raised interest rates this year to 1.5% and Swedish money markets suggest they could rise as far as 3% by the end of 2011.

However, the Riksbank’s own governor has hinted that even more aggressive increases may be justified. For the krona, this should all be good news.

Unlike its Swiss counterpart, the Riksbank shows little immediate concern about the strength of the krona. If anything, officials suggest that the strength of the currency, which has already risen by 6.5% against the dollar since the start of the year, will help to combat the inflationary impact of higher commodity and crude oil prices.

 

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