$3 Trillion Here, $3 Trillion There

OK, $2.9 trillion. Anyway, pretty soon you’ll be talking about real money.

Richard Rubin and Stephen Sloan direct us to a new Tax Policy Center assessment of the tax cuts in the Ryan plan (all, repeat all, of which go to top incomes and corporations) which has been posted but not yet advertised on the TPC home page — you have to know that it’s there.

The people at TPC are careful to say that this is not a full assessment of the Ryan plan, because

The proposed resolution includes measures to broaden the individual and corporate tax bases, but lacks sufficient detail for an estimate including those provisions.

I’ll say. In fact, the proposal says it will broaden the tax base, but says nothing whatsoever about how. And it would take an awful lot of broadening to make up for the revenue losses, which are estimated at $2.9 trillion.

To be fair, $370 billion of that is taxes associated with financing health care reform, which Ryan and co. want to repeal; but then again, CBO says that repealing health care reform would add more than $230 billion to the deficit, so it’s pretty nearly a wash.

As Rubin and Sloan point out, even completely eliminating the mortgage interest deduction wouldn’t be enough to close more than a fraction of the gap.

And what does the chairman of the Ways and Means Committee have to say? His spokesperson says,

The pro-growth tax reform proposal included in Chairman Ryan's budget proposal is both revenue neutral and holds revenue at historical norms.

I believe that translates as, “We believe in voodoo. Also, arithmetic has a well-known liberal bias.”

Looking at this massive tax cut — NOT taken account of in the CBO estimates — might almost make you think that (a) the Ryan plan would actually increase the deficit and (b) the whole goal is not to reduce the deficit, but to transfer income upward. In fact, it so happens that the estimated cost of those tax cuts is almost exactly equal to the proposed cuts to Medicaid, food stamps, and other programs helping lower-income Americans.

But none of that can be true. After all, the guy has won an award for fiscal responsibility.

Paul Krugman is an Op-Ed columnist for The New York Times.

Where's the Democratic vision on the budget?

Once you stop listening to all the swooning and read the numbers, the Republican budget proposal looks like more voodoo economics.

Paul Krugman Op-Ed column says it is no surprise that Republicans who deny existence of global warming repudiated testimony of their own expert witness when study he conducted confirmed existence of phenomenon; says such politicians are engaged in nothing more than cynical careerism that will incur terrible costs for human race

Paul Krugman Op-Ed column challenges assertion by Congressional Republicans that slashing government spending and employment opportunities will actually create jobs in private sector; laments that Obama administration and Democrats are offering little pushback

Paul Krugman Op-Ed column holds that Wisconsin Republican Party's attack on University of Wisconsin historian William Cronon for criticizing state's anti-union law is another indicator of how reflexively vindictive, how un-American, one of America's two great political parties has become; charges that right-wing attack on scholars is attack on free and open national discourse

April 10

Euro Divergence (Slightly Wonkish)

A daunting task, made worse by the ECB.

April 10 //

Age of Diminished Expectations

Dreading that deficit speech.

April 10 //

A Word From Those Who

Getting the critics right.

April 09 //

Celebrating Defeat

Yay! We lost!

April 09 //

“Serious”

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

From the Opinion Blogs Opinionator The Clarion Notes of Defiance

The Confederate government demands that Fort Sumter surrender, and batteries open fire.

Opinionator A Closed Book

With Fort Sumter cut off from the outside world, the fate of its garrison - and perhaps even of the Union - depended on one ambivalent and inscrutable man.

Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Back to Top © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Corrections RSS First Look Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise Site Map if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');

A daunting task, made worse by the ECB.

April 10

Age of Diminished Expectations

Dreading that deficit speech.

April 10 //

A Word From Those Who

Getting the critics right.

April 09 //

Celebrating Defeat

Yay! We lost!

April 09 //

“Serious”

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

From the Opinion Blogs Opinionator The Clarion Notes of Defiance

The Confederate government demands that Fort Sumter surrender, and batteries open fire.

Opinionator A Closed Book

With Fort Sumter cut off from the outside world, the fate of its garrison - and perhaps even of the Union - depended on one ambivalent and inscrutable man.

Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Back to Top © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Corrections RSS First Look Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise Site Map if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');

Dreading that deficit speech.

April 10

A Word From Those Who

Getting the critics right.

April 09 //

Celebrating Defeat

Yay! We lost!

April 09 //

“Serious”

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

From the Opinion Blogs Opinionator The Clarion Notes of Defiance

The Confederate government demands that Fort Sumter surrender, and batteries open fire.

Opinionator A Closed Book

With Fort Sumter cut off from the outside world, the fate of its garrison - and perhaps even of the Union - depended on one ambivalent and inscrutable man.

Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Back to Top © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Corrections RSS First Look Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise Site Map if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');

Getting the critics right.

April 09

Celebrating Defeat

Yay! We lost!

April 09 //

“Serious”

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

From the Opinion Blogs Opinionator The Clarion Notes of Defiance

The Confederate government demands that Fort Sumter surrender, and batteries open fire.

Opinionator A Closed Book

With Fort Sumter cut off from the outside world, the fate of its garrison - and perhaps even of the Union - depended on one ambivalent and inscrutable man.

Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Back to Top © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Corrections RSS First Look Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise Site Map if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');

Yay! We lost!

April 09

“Serious”

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

From the Opinion Blogs Opinionator The Clarion Notes of Defiance

The Confederate government demands that Fort Sumter surrender, and batteries open fire.

Opinionator A Closed Book

With Fort Sumter cut off from the outside world, the fate of its garrison - and perhaps even of the Union - depended on one ambivalent and inscrutable man.

Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Back to Top © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Corrections RSS First Look Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise Site Map if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

The Confederate government demands that Fort Sumter surrender, and batteries open fire.

With Fort Sumter cut off from the outside world, the fate of its garrison - and perhaps even of the Union - depended on one ambivalent and inscrutable man.

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