I’m glad to see Greg Mankiw agreeing with me on the absence of any inflation risk in the current environment. Maybe he should have a word with everyone else in his party.
Here’s another way to think about the issue. As you can see above, wages have gone nowhere. Commodity prices, on the other hand, have gone up a lot lately (although they crashed last week).
So here are a couple of questions.
First, do you see any sign that workers are about to (or are even able to) demand higher wages to compensate for the higher prices of gas and food?
Second, do you any sign that employers are getting ready to make more generous wage offers?
Third, have you heard anything about companies feeling that they have room to raise prices by substantially more than the rise in their raw material costs?
The answer to all three questions is clearly no. So what we have is a rise in raw material prices, which will largely get passed on the consumers, but no hint that this is spreading into a wider rise in prices; and with labor costs flat, that means we get a one-time jump in consumer prices, but no persistent rise in inflation.
If you want to insist otherwise, you have to tell me how this is supposed to work. And I haven’t heard any coherent explanations to that effect.
Paul Krugman is an Op-Ed columnist for The New York Times.
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If the federal budget and national deficit situation is so serious, shouldn't we be raising taxes, not cutting them?
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The Invisible Bond Vigilantes Have Resumed Their Invisible AttackThey'll keep punishing us with low, low rates.
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From the Opinion Blogs Schott's Vocab Daily Lexeme: NepentheA drink, potion, or drug bringing, or supposed to bring, forgetfulness of trouble or grief
Opinionator Family FeudsIn the Appalachians, the Civil War was often literally brother against brother.
Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Site Map © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Terms of Sale Corrections RSS Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');About those pillaging hordes of schoolteachers.
May 08
The Invisible Bond Vigilantes Have Resumed Their Invisible AttackThey'll keep punishing us with low, low rates.
May 08 //
Hume DayHuman understanding, and its limits.
May 08 //
The Inflation Monster Under the BedCan't find it with a flashlight.
May 07 //
VSP EconomicsParsing an editorial.
From the Opinion Blogs Schott's Vocab Daily Lexeme: NepentheA drink, potion, or drug bringing, or supposed to bring, forgetfulness of trouble or grief
Opinionator Family FeudsIn the Appalachians, the Civil War was often literally brother against brother.
Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Site Map © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Terms of Sale Corrections RSS Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');They'll keep punishing us with low, low rates.
May 08
Hume DayHuman understanding, and its limits.
May 08 //
The Inflation Monster Under the BedCan't find it with a flashlight.
May 07 //
VSP EconomicsParsing an editorial.
From the Opinion Blogs Schott's Vocab Daily Lexeme: NepentheA drink, potion, or drug bringing, or supposed to bring, forgetfulness of trouble or grief
Opinionator Family FeudsIn the Appalachians, the Civil War was often literally brother against brother.
Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Site Map © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Terms of Sale Corrections RSS Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');Human understanding, and its limits.
May 08
The Inflation Monster Under the BedCan't find it with a flashlight.
May 07 //
VSP EconomicsParsing an editorial.
From the Opinion Blogs Schott's Vocab Daily Lexeme: NepentheA drink, potion, or drug bringing, or supposed to bring, forgetfulness of trouble or grief
Opinionator Family FeudsIn the Appalachians, the Civil War was often literally brother against brother.
Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Site Map © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Terms of Sale Corrections RSS Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');Can't find it with a flashlight.
May 07
VSP EconomicsParsing an editorial.
From the Opinion Blogs Schott's Vocab Daily Lexeme: NepentheA drink, potion, or drug bringing, or supposed to bring, forgetfulness of trouble or grief
Opinionator Family FeudsIn the Appalachians, the Civil War was often literally brother against brother.
Follow The New York Times »FacebookTwitterYouTubeRSS Feeds Paul Krugman Blog RSS Subscribe to Paul Krugman’s Reading List Home World U.S. N.Y. / Region Business Technology Science Health Sports Opinion Arts Style Travel Jobs Real Estate Autos Site Map © 2011 The New York Times Company Privacy Your Ad Choices Terms of Service Terms of Sale Corrections RSS Help Contact Us Work for Us Advertise if (typeof NYTD.Blogs.user != 'undefined') { if(NYTD.Blogs.user.isLoggedIn()) { var dcsvid=NYTD.Blogs.user.getId(); var regstatus="registered"; } else { var dcsvid=""; var regstatus="non-registered"; } } var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E")); var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker("UA-4406282-48"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); document.write('');Parsing an editorial.
A drink, potion, or drug bringing, or supposed to bring, forgetfulness of trouble or grief
In the Appalachians, the Civil War was often literally brother against brother.
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