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Sept. 18, 2011, 12:01 p.m. EDT
By Chuck Jaffe, MarketWatch
BOSTON (MarketWatch) "” It was front-page news in 1990 when legendary mutual-fund manager Peter Lynch announced that he was leaving Fidelity Magellan Fund, and not just in places like Boston "” home of Fidelity Investments "” or major money centers, but in communities like Allentown, Pa., where I was then the business editor of The Morning Call newspaper.
Lynch had become such a household name that there was discussion at the paper over whether he deserved Page One. I didn't think his departure warranted that status.
I remember the discussion this way:
Me: "If this was any fund but Magellan and any manager in the world except for Peter Lynch "¦"
Boss: "No one would care and it probably wouldn't even make the business page."
Last week, Fidelity changed managers at Magellan once again. This time, it didn't even make the business page.
Sure, Magellan /quotes/zigman/226527 FMAGX +0.43% has gone from being the world's largest fund to the ninth-largest fund at Fidelity. Today it has $17 billion and carries, ironically enough, a "one-star" rating from investment researcher Morningstar Inc. The kindest thing Fidelity could do for Magellan shareholders is to fold it into something good, rather than passing it to Jeff Feingold, manager at Fidelity Trend /quotes/zigman/226565 FTRNX +0.74% .
The bigger point is that virtually no manager's departure today would make headlines. Yes, Pimco's Bill Gross will make news someday when he calls it quits, and a few others will cause a stir or a buzz, but the heyday of the "star manager" appears over.
"At exactly the market moment when star managers should matter most, they've vanished quicker than a tax dollar in Washington," said Jim Lowell, editor of the Fidelity Investor newsletter. "While there are many managers whose track records are stellar, the days of building industry behemoths on the backs of one star have dwindled to a flickering flame."
Few managers have the skill or timing of Lynch, who not only grew Magellan by a cumulative 2,700% during 13 years at the helm, but had the foresight to step down "” and etch his record in stone "” while still in his mid-40s. By comparison, Bill Miller made his legend at Legg Mason Value Trust /quotes/zigman/232015 LMVTX +0.75% by beating the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index /quotes/zigman/3870025 SPX +0.57% for 15 consecutive calendar years; alas, Miller has been crushed by the market since the streak ended in 2006. Likewise, Bruce Berkowitz polished his star at Fairholme Fund /quotes/zigman/265845 FAIRX +0.63% until recent underperformance tarnished it.
Industry observers can name a dozen or more managers who still qualify as "stars," but the average fund investor probably couldn't name the person in charge of running most of their funds.
"Hugely outsized performance and media attention over several years gets to the affected managers' heads," said Mark Salzinger, editor of the No-Load Fund Investor newsletter.
He added: "They begin to believe their press clippings and think they are infallible. This leads them to hold on to losing stocks and out-of-favor mindsets forever; they have trouble adapting to the market's new realities. "¦ The result can be very ugly performance, and great disappointment for investors who bought in at the tail end of the period of the manager's above-average performance."
Legends like Lynch or John Neff, long-time manager of Vanguard Windsor Fund /quotes/zigman/129025 VWINX +0.18% , were made in an era before there were stars, specifically the symbols of Morningstar's rating system. Morningstar introduced its ratings in 1991; by 2004, three-quarters of all new investments were flowing into funds with four- or five-star ratings.
Stars were born in that era "” from the zenith of Lynch's career at Magellan until ratings became a driving force in the industry "” as mutual funds became Main Street's investment of choice; hot managers regularly graced magazine covers and were lionized by a business media that confused a bull market with investing brilliance.
When the Internet bubble burst, and Morningstar style boxes showed that go-anywhere managers had changed tactics, the shine was gone. Lynch made a move into bonds during his time at Magellan, but it caused no uproar; his timing was early but ultimately the call paid off. His successor Jeff Vinik made the same call in the mid-1990s and was pilloried for it.
"It is clear that star managers are a thing of the past, although there are still a few hanging on," said Geoff Bobroff, an industry consultant based in East Greenwich, R.I. "I would suggest that a manager really can't run money like Peter [Lynch] did before Morningstar; Morningstar really puts a straightjacket on managers to stay in a still box. Thus, today you can't buy a fund and expect that the manager will go anywhere to make money."
Indeed, investors nowadays either want to control the process "” either through use of index funds and an asset allocation plan or through funds where the manager follows a specific mandate "” or they want one-size-fits-all portfolios. Instead of letting a fund manager navigate the market, they're picking an asset-allocation plan and glide path for a lifetime, worrying less about finding a star than about reaching their goals.
No one needs a star manager to reach their goals. For people who wish they had one "” who want a name they trust at the top "” the stars of the future will be managers who deliver to investor expectations, rather than the ones who, like Lynch, show results beyond investors' wildest dreams.
You're invited! "Finding the Right Exchange-Traded Funds" is the topic of a MarketWatch panel discussion set for 9 a.m. Wednesday, Sept. 21 in Chicago, hosted by MarketWatch columnist Chuck Jaffe. Join us for this breakfast event featuring the expertise and analysis of Michael S. Falk of Michael S. Falk Asset Consulting in Chicago; David Trainer, president of New Constructs Inc. in Nashville; and Scott Burns, Director of ETF, Closed-End and Alternative Fund Research for Morningstar. They'll discuss how to evaluate your investment strategies and navigate the increasingly complex world of ETF products. If you'd like to join us for this free event, email your RSVP to wsjdnevent@dowjones.com by Monday, Sept. 19.
Chuck Jaffe is a senior MarketWatch columnist. His work appears in many U.S. newspapers.
Chuck Jaffe is a senior columnist for MarketWatch. Through syndication in newspapers, his "Your Funds" column is the most widely read feature on mutual fund... Expand
Chuck Jaffe is a senior columnist for MarketWatch. Through syndication in newspapers, his "Your Funds" column is the most widely read feature on mutual fund investing in America. He also writes a general-interest personal finance column and the Stupid Investment of the Week column. Chuck does two weekly podcasts for MarketWatch, and frequently makes guest appearances on television, and on radio shows across the country. He is the author of three personal-finance books. His latest, "Getting Started in Hiring Financial Advisors," was published in the spring of 2010 by John Wiley & Sons. Collapse
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