More Chuck Norris Monetary Policy

But what concrete steps will the Fed actually take to raise Nominal GDP? Can anyone tell me that?"

I must have heard that question a hundred times over the last couple of years. And a dozen more times in the last day, ever since Paul Krugman endorsed the proposal to target NGDP. I always imagine it being asked in a gruff Yorkshire accent, by some middle-aged no-nonsense practical man of business with a background in mechanical engineering.

So this is written for the people of the concrete steppes.

First off, you aren't thinking about this right.

Sure, I've used mechanical metaphors for monetary policy in the past. But those metaphors only take you so far. Machines don't have expectations; people do. The actions that people take now depend very much on their expectations of what other people will do, and on their expectations of what the central bank will do.

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