The World Is Facing 10 Calamities

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NEW YORK (RealMoney) -- Memo to the world: Something better go right soon. Just for a moment, for one gloomy horrid moment, let me tick off everything that is going wrong: 1. The euro crashed through long-term support like a knife through cream cheese because butter was too resistant. That's a sure sign that no one wants anything euro-denominated. Who can blame them? >>Cramer: Trading Commodities in Deflation Panic 2. The European stock markets only seem to rally in fits and starts against a now presumed backdrop of falling prices. Any lift is perceived to be a total short squeeze, a judgment I agree with. 3. European economies are slowing down fairly dramatically, with an expectation that the unemployment numbers are going to soar. Yet there is no stimulus from government because the governments are either broke or worried about losing their AAA status. 4. Interest rates in Europe are rising when the economies are weakening and would be much higher if the European Central bank weren't hanging around underneath now and then. 5. There are 146 billion euros worth of auctions from Italy and Spain alone in the first quarter and 750 billion euros altogether set to be auctioned in the first quarter in the EU. With the euro falling and the budgets not being tightened fast enough to deal with the declining receipts and the burgeoning interest bill, where are those buyers going to come from? I have no idea. 6. Despite all of this slowing, the most important commodity, oil, the one that the whole world's economies are based on, is going up, not down, courtesy hoarding, Iranian worries and demand from Indian and China. 7. China's economy is slowing but not slowing enough to allow the government to cut rates multiple times. 8. Ben Bernanke pretty much told you yesterday he's given her all she's got and it clearly isn't enough. 9. Our Leadership in the crisis is non-existent. 10. We are on the verge of gigantic bank nationalizations in Europe and a concomitant recession that will be brutal and spill over to here but everyone's just too tired and fatigued to focus on it. It is with this background, these ten calamities, that we have to filter everything through. I start with the calamities because they are the reasons why, when you talk with executives from so many great companies, that so few potential investors are willing to step up to the plate and do some buying for what are some admittedly very cheap prices. Why bother? If every positive mention starts with "Despite the European headwinds, XYZ Corp. delivered." And if the company isn't located in Europe? "Despite the headwinds caused by the decline in the S&P 500 because of European woes." If things were going right away from Europe then we could isolate Europe. And it is possible to see how it can go right, with China cutting and the United States making a comeback, but they have to be hastened because Europe is breaking down faster than China can cut or the U.S. repair itself. That's why we are giving away stocks at such low prices. The prism goes darker almost by the day. Hence, my new Defcon 2 posture. The only thing that has beaten this whole morass is yield. While some regard that as a fad, or an overcrowded trade, those naysayers remind me of the people who thought Treasuries were a short at 5% then 4% then 3% and then 2%. And, unlike Treasuries, there is not an unlimited supply of higher yielding stocks with safe dividends. They can only grow if companies start returning that excess cash to shareholders via dividends to rival CDs rather than returning the excess cash to hedge fund sellers looking for a bid. I have tried hard to isolate the stories that give you good yield that are domestic in nature and that have less risk. I have tried to find stocks like General Mills(GIS), which boosted its dividend by 9% yesterday giving you a more than 3% yield with the biggest worry there being the ability to keep raising prices for cereal, something that's been about as consistent as raising prices for tobacco. 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