Price-Earnings Ratio Says Stocks Could Fall by 50%

stocks are extremely expensive on every valid historical measure I know of. In the past, this level of overvaluation has presaged poor long-term returns. So I'm not expecting my retirement account to do well from this level over the next 7-10 years.

The other thing that this level of valuation has also often preceded is something much worse than a "minor correction"—a crash.

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