Epidemiological Models Can't Tell States When to Open
With more than a dozen states starting to relax mandatory social distancingedicts, some organizations are offering advice to states on when they might prudently alleviate or decentralize current mandates. The most ambitious effort is an offshoot of a model from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington. Having been made famous in White House briefings by Doctors Birx and Fauci, that “Murray Model” could conceivably be influencing federal and state official about the proper timing and design of state decisions to relax mandates.
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