An oxymoron, to be sure, there have been numerous failures of “government intelligence” just in the 21st century. Iraq WMD may or may not have been intentionally misleading, there just wasn’t any. The various Arab “springs” which punctured the seal holding back the intended migrations of huge swaths of the Earth’s peoples. That whole subprime mortgage thing.
None, I think, will have proven so consequential as the original consensus surrounding Xi Jinping and the next stage for Socialism with Chinese Characteristics. What passes for consensus, government intelligence back in the eighties had been just as surprised as anyone else when the Berlin Wall fell, or in ’91 when the Soviet Union, America’s great adversary for several generations, simply dissolved like a snowflake settling down upon warm pavement.
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