Is the Dollar's Long Upward March Ending?

As we start 2023, the US dollar has pulled back 12% from its high in September 2022, but remains 25% elevated from its lows at the start of the last decade. The US dollar’s long march upward may be ending, squeezed by an expected shrinking interest rate differential with other developed nations that must keep hiking rates to fight inflation. The Fed, however, as US inflation appears to moderate, can also moderate its rate hikes. Our research shows that in a weakening dollar environment, unhedged foreign stocks and bonds should outperform. Read Full Article »