Trump's Tax Refund Promises Falling Short
Corey Husak
Center for American Progress
April 15, 2026
In a predictable turn of events, the Trump administration appears to have fallen far short of its promise to increase American taxpayers’ tax refunds “
by $1,000 or more” this filing season. As of a week and a half before the end of filing season, the average refund was up only $346 over last year, with little prospect remaining for a significant increase. Even that $346 average is heavily driven by larger refunds for the highest earners and is not representative of the median taxpayer’s experience.
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