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Apr 1, 2026
One thing I am certain of is that, in recent years, investors have talked a lot about “rising uncertainty”.
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Mar 25, 2026
Many investors seem to manage their portfolios from one risk to another, month by month, quarter by quarter. Suffice to say, this is probably not a strategy that can be successful...
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Mar 11, 2026
The path is unknowable but the destination is pretty sure.
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Mar 5, 2026
What we do and don't know about the Iran war.
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Feb 25, 2026
P.T. Barnum would have been a great market pundit.
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Feb 13, 2026
Will investors start to value real things more and ephemeral things less?
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Feb 5, 2026
How does extreme positive performance from any asset class or fund make us think and act, and why?
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Jan 30, 2026
Contrary to how these environments are likely to make us feel, a 2024 study showed that future equity market returns tend to be higher when coverage of war is more prominent in the...
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Jan 22, 2026
In 2025, I ran a prediction game for finance professionals. This year, to keep pace with current trends, I decided instead to pose ten questions about markets in 2026 to several AI...
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Jan 14, 2026
From a behavioural perspective, our ability to meet our long-term investment objectives is really about one thing: managing the conflict between our desire to save for the future and...
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Jan 8, 2026
Back in December of 2024, I ran a survey which was completed by 276 finance professionals. It asked them 10 questions on what would happen in markets in 2025. Let’s see how...