Liz Ann Sonders
Nov 18, 2022
Swing, Swing: Wild Week
A better-than-expected October consumer price index report provided some relief and support for equities, but investors should be wary of low-quality leadership and, to some extent,...
Nov 7, 2022
Disappearing Act: Earnings
Earnings weakness is starting to materialize across a broader swath of industries, with hits coming from a strong dollar, weaker demand, and aggressive monetary policy.
Oct 21, 2022
Different Strings … Similar Story
Much attention has been paid to the elevated risk (and announcement) of a recession, but investors should instead focus on signals coming from leading economic indicators.
Oct 18, 2022
Inflation Reduction: New Taxes, Weaker Market?
On the surface, a new 1% stock buyback tax and 15% corporate minimum tax on top-earning companies may look harmful to bottom lines, but we think the reality is more nuanced.
Oct 11, 2022
Ripple(s) From Surging Dollar
While a spike in global market volatility has prompted some investors to think a Fed response is imminent, we caution against thinking that intervention is a bullish development.
Sep 26, 2022
Earnings: Trampled Under Foot?
The bear market has been driven by multiple compression, making valuations look relatively compelling. Yet, expected weakness in earnings may limit the upside potential for stocks.
Sep 12, 2022
Are Jobs Livin' On the Edge?
The August jobs report delivered something for both economic bulls and bears, but what matters more in the near term is the Fed's focus on seeing a continued easing in labor demand.
Aug 15, 2022
Both Sides Now: Fed's Dueling Mandates
July's hot jobs report will likely keep the Fed in a hawkish position, but key to watch moving forward is a continued softening in leading labor and inflation indicators.
Jul 15, 2022
What's Going On...With Jobs
The June jobs report was cheered by economic bulls given its strength in level terms, but rates of change among leading indicators don't favor a soft-landing outcome for the economy.
Jun 20, 2022
Signs Point to Rising Recession Risk
Some unnatractive signals.
Jun 17, 2022
Fed Goes for Inflation's Jugular w/75bps Rate Hike
A record move.
Jun 3, 2022
2022 Mid-Year Outlook: U.S. Stocks and Economy
A look ahead.
May 20, 2022
Doom and Gloom: When Will It End?
Bearish sentiment is becoming a contrarian support; but for now, aggressive Fed action, tightening financial conditions, and the liquidity drain may keep downward pressure on stocks.
May 9, 2022
50 Ways to Leave Your Mark
The Fed raised rates by 50 basis points and confirmed the balance sheet runoff will start in June, while also ruling out a future steep hike of 75 basis points for now.
May 7, 2022
When the Levee Breaks, Panic Is Not a Strategy
Another burst of market volatility has confirmed that the peak in negative economic consequences—courtesy of tighter policy and slowing growth—is likely still ahead of us.
Mar 25, 2022
Recession Blues: Unfounded Fear?
Even if a recession is not imminent, the playbook deserves a dusting off as rising inflation, tighter monetary policy, and the war in Ukraine all crimp economic growth prospects.
Mar 8, 2022
Growth vs. Value: What Does It Mean?
Performance underneath the surface is sometimes markedly different from the action at the Growth and Value index level.
Mar 4, 2022
Russia-Ukraine: Navigating Markets on Edge
The human toll is immense, but financial market reaction to the Russian invasion of Ukraine has been muted so far. Here's what we expect to see in coming days and weeks.
Feb 22, 2022
Volatility has increased as investors search for traction.
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