Author Archive
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Sep 18, 2025Sell Rosh Hashana, Buy Yom Kippur -
Sep 17, 2025Just as the inverted Treasury yield curve in recent years didn’t mean a recession was imminent, the current upwardly sloping yield curve doesn’t guarantee a strong... -
Sep 12, 2025Why do large caps usually beat small caps in the 4th quarter? Follow the money... -
Sep 10, 2025Investors are exuberant not just in the stock market, but in the gold and bond markets as well. That has hardly ever happened before, and it doesn’t bode well for any of these... -
Sep 5, 2025The US government faces hundreds of billions of dollars in extra interest payments. -
Sep 4, 2025The truth about tariffs? They'll hit company profits or raise prices, maybe both. -
Aug 30, 2025The market actually performs better when the volatility index is low. -
Aug 28, 2025Small caps have trounced the S&P 500 in August -
Aug 25, 2025Hubris in financial markets is most prominent when growth is robust and investors forget the past. -
Aug 22, 2025Social Security beats anything offered by insurance companies -
Aug 14, 2025Investors are seeing bubbles everywhere. -
Aug 7, 2025If companies were confident about the future they'd raise their dividends instead. -
Aug 2, 2025The political pressure on the Fed and the push for a weaker dollar played a role in the '87 crash. -
Jul 31, 2025Risk tolerance questionnaires don't reveal much about you and your money. -
Jul 24, 2025How worrisome is the performance gap between the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000? -
Jul 18, 2025The value premium is highly correlated with inflation. -
Jul 9, 2025Most consumers are worriying more about money -
Jul 3, 2025US stocks are likely to be higher on December 31 and it has nothing to do with politics or the economy. -
Jul 1, 2025S&P 500 sectors that outperform near the end of a bull market aren't rising yet. -
Jun 21, 2025Study finds that betting against Robinhood users is a profitable business. -
Jun 11, 2025Hard to short stocks are likely to lose money -
Jun 6, 2025ETFs that take you far from the S&P 500 -
May 28, 2025Perceived seasonal stock market patterns are not an investment strategy. -
May 21, 2025Without bubbles there would be less risk taking and innovation. -
May 8, 2025It looks like a long cold summer for the US stock market -
Apr 30, 2025Past breakups, like AT&T, have been very rewarding. -
Apr 29, 2025Putting the Zweig breadth thrust buy signal in perspective -
Apr 25, 2025Stock market predictions are hard especially about the future. -
Apr 24, 2025Gold's movements cannot be explained rationally. -
Apr 12, 2025Big up days like April 9th usually happen in bear markets. -
Apr 4, 2025The last time investors were this pessimistic, the S&P 500 rose 19% over the next 3 months. -
Mar 28, 2025Stocks perform better when investors are troubled. -
Mar 25, 2025 -
Mar 24, 2025Norman Fosback's Seasonality Timing System shifts in and out of stocks at the turn of every month. -
Mar 15, 2025If this downturn is typical it's probably about over. -
Mar 7, 2025The gold/platinum ratio has a strong track record. -
Mar 7, 2025Even the most skilled portfolio managers lose when they let their politics infect their decisions. -
Mar 1, 2025What current consumer sentiment and confidence readings mean for stocks. -
Feb 13, 2025A simple 60/40 stock/bond portfolio outperforms complicated, costly options. -
Jan 31, 2025Popularity is a contrarian signal. -
Jan 31, 2025Subjecting the Super Bowl indicator to statistical scrutiny. -
Jan 24, 2025Raising corporate taxes - not lowering then - often leads to higher growth -
Jan 22, 2025Watch what CEOs do, not what they say. -
Jan 17, 2025Price spikes happen in bear markets more often than in bull markets -
Jan 16, 2025Investors are realizing that they no longer can count on lower interest rates and inflation to support higher stock and bond prices
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Jan 9, 2025Looking for bullish signs from the ‘First five days of January indicator’ and the ‘January barometer’
