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Dec 12, 2025
Although market timing is effective, laypeople often lack a clear understanding of its goals and problems.
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Nov 26, 2025
I label any predictions of the stock market's performance for next year as "unnecessary" due to the high likelihood of a rising market and the frequent absence of confidence...
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Apr 11, 2025
After a negative 7-sigma two-day drop last week in the S&P 500 index, yesterday there was a positive 9-sigma rally. These tail events are rare and have historically occurred...
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Mar 27, 2025
Predictions of when the next bear market will arrive are futile exercises and they focus on the wrong problem. A better problem to focus on is how to minimize the inevitable losses.
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Jan 22, 2025
Commodities are on the rise and may outperform stocks, based on recent political and economic developments.
Dec 12, 2025Although market timing is effective, laypeople often lack a clear understanding of its goals and problems. 
Nov 26, 2025I label any predictions of the stock market's performance for next year as "unnecessary" due to the high likelihood of a rising market and the frequent absence of confidence...
Apr 11, 2025After a negative 7-sigma two-day drop last week in the S&P 500 index, yesterday there was a positive 9-sigma rally. These tail events are rare and have historically occurred...
Mar 27, 2025Predictions of when the next bear market will arrive are futile exercises and they focus on the wrong problem. A better problem to focus on is how to minimize the inevitable losses.
Jan 22, 2025Commodities are on the rise and may outperform stocks, based on recent political and economic developments.