RealClearMarkets Articles

Nosebleed Housing Prices Aren't Signaling What the Experts Think

John Tamny - January 21, 2026

“The U.S. must build, baby.” The latter is the subhead to a recent opinion piece published at the right-of-center Manhattan Institute. Supposedly the easy answer to housing affordability is “build baby, build.” On the left, Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson are presently being lionized for promoting an “abundance” agenda of more homebuilding that will supposedly make homeownership more affordable. Isn’t bipartisanship great? More realistically, it’s a reminder that the only thing scarier than ideological divide is agreement. It’s frequently a...

A Case for Housing As the Dream for Millennials

Patrice Onwuka - January 21, 2026

Owning a home is core to Millennials’ American Dream. The good news is that the largest generation in America is highly motivated to purchase a home in 2026, despite housing market unaffordability. We appreciate that policymakers want to help our generation catch up to our Baby Boomer parents and Gen X siblings in homeownership. However, some national proposals that sound appealing will have little impact on increasing younger generations’ ability to buy a home. The best ways to move Millennials from motivated and into a new home are still to increase housing supply through...

Strong Incentives As the Path To Economic Advance

Les Rubin - January 21, 2026

Successful economies provide opportunities, growth, and economic wellbeing for the citizens of a country. It is important to understand the root causes of why some economies are successful while others are not, and in the worst cases, abysmal failures where the citizens live in poverty. After decades of watching economies succeed and fail, one lesson is clear. Incentives, the most powerful force on earth, drive behavior. People respond to what they are rewarded for, and when incentives are aligned with the right goals, societies prosper. Most people want to build better lives for themselves...

In Great Britain, Industrial Prowess Surrenders to Green

Vijay Jayaraj - January 21, 2026

Across the Atlantic, a self-inflicted disaster is steadily unfolding. One of the United States’ closest allies, the United Kingdom, has surrendered energy riches and industrial prowess.  This decline is not the result of any shortage of capital, technological capacity or natural resources. Instead, it is the consequence of an ideologically driven climate agenda that has elevated “green” symbolism over engineering reality.  For years, politicians have beaten their chests about the U.K.’s "world-leading" renewable capacity. They paraded statistics showing wind...


Keynes Doesn't Gain Legitimacy During Downturns

John Tamny - January 20, 2026

The worst thing for a country's economy is for legislators to borrow money for deficit spending during economic downturns. Too bad no one agrees, including those perhaps pre-disposed to agree. For background, a recent Washington Post editorial lamented that “During a three-year span of low unemployment, economic expansion, increasing revenue and no major foreign wars, the budget deficit was larger as a share of the economy than any year of the 1930s, the decade of the Great Depression.” The Post’s implied point found can be found in the title of the aforementioned editorial:...

The Rise of Venture Debt, and Its Meaning for Company Founders

David Spreng - January 20, 2026

For decades, “private credit” was synonymous with rigid structures and standardized term loans with fixed covenants that resembled off-the-shelf products. That’s changing. Today, what’s broadly known as private debt – which includes middle-market leveraged buyout (LBO) lending, asset-based lending, and venture debt – is emerging as a flexible capital solution, designed to reflect how individual companies actually operate, scale, and weather uncertainty. Much of the growth in private credit has come from middle-market lending that shifted from banks to...

A 1970s Babysitting Co-Op As a Metaphor for Crypto's Future

Reuven Brenner - January 20, 2026

An article published in 1978, by Joan and Richard Sweeney, titled “Monetary Theory and the Great Capitol Hill Baby-sitting Co-op Crisis,” offers surprising insights into what crypto is and the functions of “money” it may fulfill. The story is this: in the 1970s a baby-sitting co-operative with 150 couples as members decided to issue coupons allowing the bearer to one-hour of baby-sitting. It turns out that, after a while, few coupons were in circulation to sustain their liquidity. People were accumulating coupons, rather than spending them and exchanging...

When It's Your Money, You Known When It's Being Stolen

Rob Smith - January 20, 2026

Why did Kant, Hegel, Kierkegaard, and all the great philosophers know so little about the real world? Ever heard of Eddie Levert, Sammy Strain, Frank Little, Jr., and Walter Williams? The philosophizing soul brothers—the O’Jays crooned these words in For the Love of Money: Money, money, money, money, moneySome people got to have itSome people really need itListen to me, y’allDo things, do things, do things—bad things—with itYou want to do things, do things, do things—good things—with itTalk about cash money, moneyTalk about cash money, dollar...


With Energy, Tomorrow Is Often Another Country

John Tamny - January 20, 2026

The U.S. oil sector had its worst stretch under Ronald Reagan. So substantially did prices fall during his presidency that even his Vice President (George H.W. Bush) made the rather puzzling suggestion that OPEC should be prodded to restrain oil prices from further decline.  When markets are untouched by the powers that be, the unpredictable often follows. Reagan de-controlled gasoline prices in one of his first official acts as president, and the response was that the former actor was naïve. Ted Kennedy leaned on Democrats to oppose Reagan given his view that gasoline prices sans...

We Can't Subsidize Every Rx While Leading the World In Innovation

Fred Roeder - January 19, 2026

When it comes to medical tech and innovation, the United States remains the global leader in a new study by the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (FREOPP). American leadership in cancer treatment, solutions for autoimmune diseases, gene editing, and vaccine development with regulatory approval, keeps the U.S. competitive in healthcare. However, the U.S. slips to 7th place worldwide when you factor in fiscal sustainability and choice — a reminder that conditions could worsen for U.S. healthcare.  In 2022, the Biden administration's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)...

Trump's Tariffs Pose a Danger to Political and Economic Liberty

Rainer Zitelmann - January 19, 2026

The penalty of an additional 10 percent in tariffs on countries that do not support his claims to Greenland (rising to 25 percent from June) once again shows that, for Trump, tariffs are primarily a lever of power politics. Donald Trump has said it time and time again: “To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is tariff. It's my favorite word.” Over the years, Trump has expressed opposing opinions on just about everything. He has called for a massive one-time tax on the rich and universal health insurance provided by employers with subsidies for those in need –...

Markets Require a Balanced Marketplace of Ideas

Christopher Baecker - January 17, 2026

The fallout from plucking former dictator Nicolas Maduro from Venezuela to face multiple criminal charges is plain.  What will the transition look like?  How much will life change for Venezuelans?  How will his allies react?  Will their oil industry recover? About the latter, San Antonio Express-News Deputy Editorial Page Editor Tony Quesada cautions that our “designs on Venezuela’s oil highlights need to slow consumption.”  After an initial hit, he arguably swings and misses the rest of the way.  He has a fair point when he...


America's Greatest Companies Tell Us the Kids Are Alright

John Tamny - January 17, 2026

“You don’t want to send your son there because he’ll become a communist, he’ll become a drug addict.” That’s the modern consensus about elite colleges and universities, so why pay for modern education? Except that the quote that begins this piece is from the 1960s. It was a parent telling another parent to not send their child to UCLA. Which is telling. It’s a reminder that complaints about what they’re teaching college kids today are decades old, and realistically centuries. For as long as there have been universities, there have been parents...

Thoughts on How To Fix Our Errant Tipping Culture

Casey Carlisle - January 17, 2026

A tip is a gift, but it has somehow come to be regarded as mandatory.  But gifts aren’t mandatory.  Tipping someone is an expression of gratitude for service valued above expectations, and because two patrons at the same table will likely value differently the service received, the notion of tipping minimums vandalizes reason.  No one deserves anything, especially those working in the service industry, which is the point: the better the service, the larger the tips because generosity is earned, not guaranteed.  Your author is aware that restaurant owners in most...

Data Center Potential Will Reveal Itself Unexpectedly Over Many Decades

John Tamny - January 16, 2026

Cable television visionary John Malone could have owned a substantial portion of AOL before it was AOL. Where it perhaps becomes more ironic is that it was Malone’s TCI that was laying the cable throughout the U.S. in the 1970s that set the stage for broad internet access decades later. Said another way, over twenty years before the internet was even a thing, Malone was unwittingly building the infrastructure for its mass rollout. Malone’s seminal role in creating the backbone for what would eventually enable the rise of a transformative technology rates thought right now as...

Fixing Inflation Policy Starts With Fixing Measurement

Richard Roberts - January 16, 2026

The debate over how far to cut interest rates while inflation remains above target has pushed inflation measurement back to the center of monetary policy. What once seemed like a technical concern has become central to the policy debate, as policymakers, markets, and politicians argue over whether the data themselves justify easing—or whether easing is being justified by adjusting for known measurement lags. That scrutiny has intensified amid heightened political pressure on the Federal Reserve, including public attacks on its leadership and ongoing scrutiny of its decisions, alongside...


Stablecoin Rewards and Their Quiet Threat to Community Banking

Paul Weinstein Jr. - January 16, 2026

As Congress prepares to return from its winter recess, negotiations over another round of legislation to regulate the crypto industry are heating up. Whether Republicans and Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee can reach an agreement remains an open question. That is unfortunate, because among the issues that still need to be addressed, one of particular importance is the impact of crypto on lending to underserved communities. Rural areas, inner cities, and economically disadvantaged communities rely heavily on community banks, typically defined as those with less than $1 billion in...

The Fed Is Flawed, Politicization Makes It Worse

Phillip Magness - January 16, 2026

On Monday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a stark warning.  Responding to the Justice Department’s subpoena and threat of charges, Powell said the move was a pretext: an attempt to pressure the central bank into setting interest rates according to political demands rather than economic evidence. He framed it as an unprecedented attack on Federal Reserve independence and vowed to continue doing his job “without fear or favor.” Powell is right about the dangers of politicizing economics. But here’s the uncomfortable truth: the Federal Reserve is far...

Antitrust Law Is a Poor Substitute for Netflix Warner Brothers

Charles Sauer - January 15, 2026

Netflix appears poised to acquire Warner Brothers despite a hostile takeover bid from Paramount Pictures. However, the deal still must be approved by the government. Hopefully, Justice Department Antitrust head Gail Slater will not only approve the deal—but use the opportunity to reaffirm that the 1948 consent decree stemming from the case of U.S. v Paramount 334 U.S. 131 (1948) is invalid. U.S. v. Paramount was a case brought against five major movie studios: Paramount, Fox, RKO, MGM, and Warner Brothers. The government alleged that the studios’ ownership of movie theaters...

Credit Card Rate Caps Will Lead To a Shortage of Credit Cards

Patrick Brenner - January 15, 2026

Affordability has become the defining economic issue of the moment. Headline inflation hovers around 3 percent year-over-year, yet prices for essential categories such as housing and rent continue to rise faster than wages. Mortgage costs for homeowners have surpassed $2,000, and rents have climbed to nearly $1,500. Home prices remain far above pre-pandemic levels, up 80 percent since 2017. Vehicles are increasingly expensive: the average new car now costs about $50,000. The total U.S. household debt to finance it all has swelled to...

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